中期18F-FDG PET/CT预测结外弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤疗效和预后的方法学研究

Methodological study of interim 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting efficacy and prognosis in patients with extranodal diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

  • 摘要:
    目的 对比分析基于中期18F-氟脱氧葡萄糖(FDG) PET/CT的4项评估指标预测结外弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤(EN-DLBCL)初始化疗疗效和预后的效能。
    方法 回顾性分析2011年5月至2020年4月于北京医院经组织病理学检查或随访结果明确诊断为EN-DLBCL的77例初诊患者其中,男性35例、女性42例,年龄(62.7±16.2)岁的资料,包括治疗前基线PET/CT、初始化疗3~4个周期时的中期PET/CT和临床资料,并通过医院电子病历系统或电话随访。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线确定中期PET/CT的最大标准化摄取值(SUVmax)的最佳临界值,将患者分为中期SUVmax<最佳临界值组和中期SUVmax≥最佳临界值组;按照中华医学会核医学分会淋巴瘤18F-FDG PET/CT及PET/MR显像临床应用指南推荐,以ΔSUVmax%=70%为最佳临界值,将患者分为ΔSUVmax%<70%组和ΔSUVmax%≥70%组;根据中期Deauville五分法评分,将患者分为Deauville五分法评分1~3分组和4~5分组;根据Lugano疗效评估标准,以中期疗效将患者分为缓解组和未缓解组。采用χ2检验、Kaplan-Meier生存分析和COX回归分析等方法分析基于中期PET/CT的SUVmax、Deauville五分法评分、Lugano疗效评估结果、ΔSUVmax%等指标对EN-DLBCL初始化疗疗效和预后预测的效能。
    结果 (1)初始化疗结束时51例(66.2%)患者完全缓解;中期SUVmax<4.9组、Deauville五分法评分1~3分组的完全缓解率分别为82.6%(38/46)和85.0%(34/40),显著高于对应的其他组,差异均有统计学意义(χ2=13.699、13.108,均P<0.001);以ΔSUVmax70%和Lugano疗效评估结果进行分组的各组,其完全缓解率之间的差异均无统计学意义(χ2=0.018、0.368,均P>0.05)。(2)中位随访时间为24个月,范围为4~105个月,随访结束时19例(24.7%)患者疾病进展、复发或死亡;SUVmax<4.9组、Deauville五分法评分1~3分组、Lugano疗效评估缓解组患者的2年无进展生存期(PFS)均显著优于对应的其他组,差异均有统计学意义(χ2=6.148、4.586、4.765,均P<0.05);Lugano疗效评估缓解组患者的2年总生存期(OS)优于未缓解组,差异有统计学意义(χ2=7.248,P=0.007);以ΔSUVmax70%分组的患者之间的PFS和OS的差异均无统计学意义(χ2=0.051、3.331,均P>0.05)。多因素COX回归分析结果显示,Lugano疗效评估结果、国际预后指数评分是EN-DLBCL患者PFS(HR=12.179、14.330,P=0.015、0.005)和OS(HR=8.645、8.903,P=0.008、0.041)的独立预测指标。
    结论 基于EN-DLBCL患者中期18F-FDG PET/CT的4项评估指标中,中期SUVmax<4.9和Deauville五分法评分1~3分能较好地预测EN-DLBCL患者初始化疗结束时的疗效是否为完全缓解,Lugano疗效评估结果是PFS和OS的独立预测指标。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the predictive accuracies of four indicators based on the interim 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT in terms of their efficacy and prognoses in patients with extranodal diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (EN-DLBCL).
    Methods Data of a total of seventy-seven newly diagnosed patients (35 males, 42 females; aged (62.7±16.2) years) with EN-DLBCL confirmed by histopathological examination or follow-up results were retrospectively analyzed from May 2011 to April 2020, including baseline PET/CT before treatment, interim PET/CT during initial chemotherapy for 3 to 4 cycles, and clinical data. Follow-up was performed through the hospital's electronic medical record system or phone call. Using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to select the optimal cutoff value for interim SUVmax, patients were divided into SUVmax < the cutoff value group and ≥ the cutoff group. Following the clinical practice guideline of 18F-FDG PET/CT and PET/MR in lymphoma (2021 edition), ΔSUVmax=70% was chosen as the cutoff value, patients were divided into ΔSUVmax%<70% group and ≥70% group. Based on the Deauville five-point scale, patients were divided into 1–3 group and 4–5 group. According to the Lugano classification criteria, patients were divided into the disease remission group and unrelieved group based on the interim response evaluation. The χ2 test, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox regression analysis were performed to analyze SUVmax, Deauville five-point scale, and the Lugano classification criteria based on interim PET/CT and ΔSUVmax% between baseline PET and interim PET in order to predict the efficacy of primary chemotherapy and prognosis of EN-DLBCL.
    Results (1) At the end of primary chemotherapy, 51 patients (66.2%) achieved complete remission (CR). The rates of CR in SUVmax<4.9 group and Deauville scores 1–3 group were 82.6% (38/46) and 85.0% (34/40), respectively, which were significantly higher than those of the other corresponding groups (χ2=13.699, 13.108, both P<0.001). No significant difference was found between the rates of CR of patients grouped by ΔSUVmax70% or the interim response evaluation based on the Lugano classification criteria (χ2=0.018, 0.368, both P>0.05). (2) The median follow-up time was 24 (4–105) months. In addition, 19 patients (24.7%) progressed, relapsed, or died at the end of follow-up. Patients in the SUVmax<4.9 group, Deauville scores 1–3 group, or remission group assessed by the Lugano classification criteria had significantly higher 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) than those in the other corresponding groups (χ2=6.148, 4.586, and 4.765, all P<0.05). The 2-year overall survival (OS) of the remission group was significantly higher than that of the nonremission group (χ2=7.248, P=0.007). No significant difference was found in the PFS or OS between patients grouped by ΔSUVmax70% (χ2=0.051, 3.331, both P>0.05). Furthermore, multivariate COX analysis confirmed that Lugano classification criteria and International Prognosis Index were independent predictors of PFS (HR=12.179, 14.330, P=0.015, 0.005) and OS (HR=8.645, 8.903, P=0.008, 0.041) in EN-DLBCL patients.
    Conclusion Among the four assessment indicators of interim PET/CT in patients with EN-DLBCL, the interim SUVmax<4.9 and the Deauville scores 1–3 were the better indicators for predicting CR at the end of primary chemotherapy, whereas the interim Lugano classification criteria can be considered an independent predictive factor of PFS and OS.

     

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