Abstract:
Objective To explore the relationship between the disappearance time of thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) and clinical outcomes in TgAb-positive (≥40 IU/ml) differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients before 131I therapy and analyze the influencing factors.
Methods A total of 126 TgAb-positive DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy and 131I therapy in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from January 2014 to January 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients included 15 males and 111 females, aged 11−74(42.1±11.5) years old. The patients were divided into the excellent and non-excellent response group according to the clinical outcomes at the last follow-up. The chi-square, independent-samples t, and Mann-Whitney U tests were used to analyze the age, the gender, the maximum diameter of the primary tumor, whether the tumor was multifocal, whether the tumor is combined with Hashimoto's thyroiditis, the preoperative thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) level, the TgAb level (preoperative and before the first 131I therapy), the TgAb declined rate at 1/6/12 months after the first 131I therapy, the disappearance time of TgAb, the total 131I dosage, the tumor stage, the lymph node stage, the lymph node metastasis rate, and the recurrence risk stratification before the first 131I therapy. The differences between the two groups were further analyzed by Logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the cut-off value for judging clinical outcomes.
Results A total of 109 patients formed the excellent response group, and 17 patients formed the non-excellent response group. In the univariate analysis, the TgAb declined rate at 12 months after the first 131I therapy (89.84% (82.81%, 94.70%) vs. 83.01% (74.99%, 91.08%), Z=−2.168, P=0.030), the disappearance time of TgAb ((25.06±17.96) months vs. (45.41±22.11) months, t=−4.206, P<0.001), and the total 131I dosage (3 700(3 700, 3 700) MBq vs. 5 550(3 700, 10 545) MBq, Z=−4.388, P<0.001) showed statistically significant differences. The Logistic regression analysis showed that the disappearance time of TgAb (OR=1.036, P=0.034) and the total 131I dosage (OR=1.033, P=0.001) were the independent risk factors for predicting the clinical outcomes. ROC curve analysis showed that when the cut-off value of the disappearance time of TgAb was 31.5 months (area under the curve=0.766, 95%CI: 0.650−0.881, P<0.001), the sensitivity and specificity of predicting clinical outcomes were the highest, 78.00% and 70.60%, respectively.
Conclusions For TgAb-positive DTC patients before 131I therapy, the disappearance time of TgAb and the total 131I dosage were the independent risk factors of the clinical outcomes. The patients were likely to obtain excellent response with the disappearance time of TgAb within 31.5 months after the first 131I therapy, and the total dosage of 131I required by the patients in the excellent response group was much lower than that required by the patients in the non-excellent response group.