Dissection of GBZ 97-2017 Judgment standard for occupational radiogenic neoplasms—Uncertainty of probability of causation methodology in radiogenic neoplasms judgment

There is native uncertainty in method of probability of causation (PC) for judgment of radiogenic neoplasms. This paper summarizes the sources of the uncertainty, main uncertainties and current research of its analysis and assessment. The uncertainty of PC method in Chinese national standard is need to be improved urgently. This paper introduces several methods to decrease uncertainty of PC method in national standards establishment.